energy Archives -

13 Feb, 2014

Recipe for a Green Revolution

There are millions of people around the world who are burning for the cause of green and renewable energy.

These environmentalists have seen the long term effects of polluting energy sources. Therefore, they spend a lot of time and effort on trying to talk sense into their elected politicians, in hopes of making them speed up decisions on low carbon solutions. The problem is that neither of these groups of people can do anything about the core issue, namely to supply the market with vast amounts of clean energy in a cost effective way. Environmentalists and politicians can choose between being supporters or opponents (politicians can even choose to be indifferent), but they will be bystanders forever.

So who holds the key to a greener tomorrow? In my opinion, they are the small inventive green tech companies and their visionary entrepreneurs. Many of these small companies and entrepreneurs share the same passion for developing new technology as many environmentalists do for taking care of Mother Nature. Even some politicians believe in a greener tomorrow, but lack the tools and the technology to do something about it.

The problem in today’s world order is that big companies, the most often polluters, are given the task of developing the new and green technologies. And that work isn’t going too well nor too fast. The general opinion is, for example, that Statoil’s Hywind project is the solution for marine renewable energy. But where do you think Statoil’s heart really lies? Is it in green renewables or in oil and gas?

I believe we need a revolution to see some realchanges in the world’s energy production. We need new voices, new tools, and a new agenda. This revolution can be triggered by simple mechanisms within the democratic voting system: We couple environmentalists with small green tech companies and their visionary entrepreneurs. Then we show the few green politicians that these small companies and their entrepreneurs have the right motivation and the heart to make complete industrial value chains. Finally, we make some change by introducing new and effective renewable energy systems. Politicians will be able to win elections on these green tech systems by triggering the millions of environmentalists and will be able to build their countries upon these new energy technologies. In other words, to see some real change, we simply should provide politicians the tools and the votes.

This is all well, but the challenge is to identify and unite the small companies and their visionary entrepreneurs with the best ideas. We need to make a solid tool box to make the world go green. We, unfortunately, have too few who are big in renewables today, so neither the environmentalists nor the politicians can fight for one strong cause. It’s almost impossible to to identify these companies and entrepreneurs. We have to look for the visionary entrepreneurs in these companies who are determined to find the right solutions on tomorrow’s green tech solutions.

We need people with the right motivation to become the driving force behind green technology. We have great philanthropists in other sectors, such as Bill Gates and Sir Richard Branson, who make a big difference. Let’s gather entrepreneurs with the biggest motivation on green tech in a similar way –not the richest, but the smartest ones!

We certainly put our faith in other people to make the right decisions every day – the airline pilot, the teacher, the mother. So why can’t we put our faith in our smart and visionary green tech entrepreneurs when it comes to solving tomorrow’s power supply? We certainlydon’t let the train driver drive the plane for obvious reasons, so why do we put our trust in the oil companies to develop the low carbon solutions that in fact undermines their own high carbon solutions?

To start the green revolution and to make some real change, we have to unite the world’s green entrepreneurs whose hearts genuinely burn for the cause of renewable energy and give them trust and opportunity. Let the low carbon society be our cause, let green technologies be our weapons, and let the green entrepreneurs be our voices in the revolution!

Geir Arne Solheim

2308

7 Oct, 2013

Apollo’s Gift: Install Solar, Get a Free Car

A rooftop solar system can generate enough energy to zero out your home electricity bill. But it can also generate enough savings to buy you a new car with free fuel every three years for life.

First, some caveats: our approach won’t work for everyone. If you live in Seattle or other cloudy climates, you probably won’t get enough sun to make this economical. If you rent, or live in an apartment where you can’t install a solar system, we can’t help. And, finally, if you already live in a zero-energy building and ride a bicycle to work, you have our respect (now move along).

For everyone else, there’s a perfect storm brewing — inexpensive solar systems, aggressive incentives from electric vehicle manufacturers, and a plethora of tax credits and rebates — which makes this an excellent time to install a rooftop solar system for powering your home and fueling an electric car.

We’re Not Making This Up…

For the impatient, here’s the punch line: The falling cost of rooftop solar systems (a.k.a. Photovoltaic or “PV systems”), combined with federal, state and local incentives, means that you can easily install a PV system and immediately lower your monthly bill. In addition, if you lease an electric vehicle as your primary commute car and install a slightly larger PV system to charge it, your monthly savings will cover the lease of the electric vehicle.

Rather than pay for everything up-front, you can take out a loan to finance the initial costs. Even factoring in monthly finance charges, your monthly bill may be lower than what you’re paying now.

The Status Quo

For purposes of comparison, let’s assume that our home consumes 940 kWh of electricity each month and electricity costs us $0.1172 per kWh for a total monthly bill of $110.

Let’s also assume that we commute 20 miles to work 21.75 days out of each month in an SUV that only gets 16 mpg and requires premium gas. If a gallon of premium gasoline costs $4.112, then we’re spending $224/month on gasoline. And, like most gasoline powered cars, our SUV requires an annual oil change and service which costs about $120, averaging $10/month.

If electricity rates and gasoline prices don’t change, we’re paying $344 every month.

Pairing A PV System With An Electric Vehicle

Electricity Consumption

We want a PV system that generates enough electricity to zero out our home electricity use and also charge an electric vehicle. From our “status quo” assumptions, we know that our home consumes 940 kWh per month.

How much power does the electric vehicle consume? We’ll specify the Fiat 500e as our electric vehicle of choice — it comes with strong reviews from Consumer Reports, stating that, “With its instant electric power delivery, the 500e feels punchy, smooth and effortless.” It has favorable lease terms and, besides, it’s as cute as a button. The Fiat 500e consumes 0.290 kWh per mile, or 252 kWh in our monthly commute.

So our PV system should be capable of delivering an average of 940 + 252 = 1192 kWh per month.

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory’s PV Watts online system has particularly useful information about solar systems, providing highly accurate solar energy data across the United States. Using the information on the PV Watts site, we see that, if we live in a climate with 4.5 hours of average daily sunlight and assuming a solar inverter efficiency of 77%, we will need solar panels rated to deliver 11.4 kW of DC power.

Cost Assumptions

The cost of PV panels, ancillary equipment and installation has been falling rapidly over the last few seasons — costs vary by region and each installation is has its own challenges. These factors make it hard to accurately ascribe a cost for fully installed systems, but we’re using $3/watt as a basis.

In our case, a PV system—including permits and installation—will cost 11400W * $3/W = $34,200.

As for the electric vehicle, a 36 month / 36000 mile lease on the Fiat 500e is available for $999 down and $199/month.

Financing your PV System

A lot of press has been given to Power Purchase Agreements (PPA) as a way to avoid the high capital cost of installing a PV system. With a PPA, you effectively loan your rooftop to a company who takes on the responsibility for installing and maintaining the PV system, and in returns, sells you electricity for a discount. While PPAs are appropriate for some customers, we recommend financing the system yourself when possible.

Even though interest rates have been rising recently, you can find favorable terms on a Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC). If you’re not familiar with a HELOC, it is a loan from the bank secured against equity in your home. We’ve recently found HELOCs with APRs below 4.5%.

If a HELOC is not for you, you should also consider Property Assessed Clean Energy (PACE) financing. In effect, it is a loan made by your local government and also secured against your home.

There are many incentives, rebates and credits for PV systems that vary state by state. But, as a minimum, our model assumes that you take advantage of the 30% Federal Tax Credit for the PV system, which knocks the price down to $23,940 from $34,200.

Financing Your Electric Vehicle

We believe that leasing an electric vehicle is a good idea. First, it eliminates any questions about long-term degradation of the batteries — after three years, you simply return the car to the dealer and get a new one. Second, electric vehicle technology is advancing rapidly, so refreshing your car every few years lets you take advantage of the most recent improvements. Finally, car manufacturers appear to be in a bit of a bidding war for leasing rates, so you have several great deals to choose from.

Different states have different rebate programs for electric vehicles. In California, for example, you can get a $2500 rebate on the lease of an electric vehicle, assuming the lease is 36 months or more.

Adding It All Up

If we apply the $2500 rebate to pay the $999 closing costs of the Fiat 500e and apply the balance to paying down the PV system, the final accounting looks like this:

Apply $999 of the $2500 California rebate to cover the closing costs on the lease of a Fiat 500e.
Apply the remaining $1501 of the California electric vehicle rebate towards the PV system so the financed amount is $23,940-$1,501 = $22,439.
Use your HELOC to finance $22,439 for the PV system. If your APR is 4.5% and you pay off the balance over the 20 year lifetime of the system, your monthly payments will be $142.
The monthly payment on your Fiat 500e will be $199.

Overall, you will pay $341 per month — less than the $344 you pay in the “status quo” scenario.

So let’s take a step back. You’ve stored your SUV in the back of the garage and only take it out for occasional ski trips. Your PV system powers your house and charges your electric vehicle. You’ve financed the cost of the PV system so there are no upfront expenses, and you are leasing an electric vehicle and financing the closing costs for it as well. Despite all this, your monthly payments are now LOWER than before you got your PV system.

That’s great, but it gets better: Every three years, you can go to the car dealership to lease a shiny new electric vehicle. You are 100% insulated against rising electricity and gasoline prices. If you choose to sell your house, your PV system will increase the value of your home, often by enough to completely offset your original cost of the system.

Don’t Take Our Word For It…

We haven’t touched on all the other incentives, rebates and credits available to homeowners who install solar or purchase an electric vehicle. For example, in some states, the cost of your solar system is deducted from your property tax. And electric vehicles are often allowed to travel for free in express lanes on highways.

Does this sound good? We’ve shared a spreadsheet on Google Drive so you can plug in your own numbers. To use it, click on this link to open it, then click on File => Make a copy… to make a copy that you can personalize. The spreadsheet also has links to many sites where you can find additional information about the numbers behind the assumptions for PV systems, EVs and rebates.

We’d welcome your comments and questions.

The author would like to give special thanks to Hilton Dier III of Renewable Energy Design for generously offering his advice and expertise. The author’s brother David suggested “Apollo’s Gift” for the name of the article.

Robert Poor

779

6 Aug, 2013

The Big Energy Picture In The US

Have you ever wondered where we get our energy in the United States and how we use it?

Or how large an impact coal makes compared to wind power and solar energy? Or whether cars and trucks use more energy than homes? Researchers at Lawrence Livermore Labs have been collecting data from the Department of Energy’s Energy Information Administration for years and making detailed “flow diagrams” that answer all those questions.

Here’s the most recent example, showing energy use in the US for 2012 (click for a larger image):

Estimated US Energy Use in 2012

For comparison, here is a link to the flow diagram for 2002.

Take a moment to absorb the graphic — it contains a lot of information. The sources of energy are on the left, the major consumption sectors (Residential, Commercial, Industrial and Transportation) towards the right, and there’s a stop-off point between the two, where raw energy sources are converted to electricity. The relative thickness of each connecting line shows how much energy travels along each path.

[Sidebar: About Quads: all of the numbers on the graphic are in quadrillion BTUs, or “Quads,” where 1 Quad equals 1,000,000,000,000,000 BTUs. One BTU is a unit of energy approximately equal to what you get by burning one match. Burning six teaspoons of gasoline generates about 1000 BTUs. But, in this post, we’re more interested in the relative amounts of energy used — the percentages — and less interested in the absolute BTUs.]

There are a few things that stand out in this graphic.

Oil is primarily used to make gasoline. Coal is primarily used to generate electricity. This should be no surprise to anyone who has studied energy use, but it is useful to keep that in mind. If your goal is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, more efficient use of gasoline and electricity is a good place to start.

Coal usage is decreasing but is still the dominant source of fuel for generating electricity. Over 40% of all electricity produced in the US starts with coal. Ten years ago, coal produced 52% of all electricity in the United States, but this percentage has been decreasing as natural gas and renewable sources increase.

A lot of energy is lost in the generation and distribution of electricity. Our electrical system is only 33% efficient: it takes three units of raw energy (coal, nuclear, gas, etc.) to generate and deliver one unit of electricity to your home. Stated another way, if you cut your own consumption by one BTU, some generation plant somewhere will consume three fewer BTUs.

Internal Combustion cars and trucks are only 20% efficient. For every five gallons of gasoline you burn, on average, only one gallon does useful “work” (in the terms a physicist would use). The other four gallons turn into wasted heat. (Note: I know this isn’t a particularly useful way to measure efficiency for cars and trucks — we’ll visit “well to wheel” efficiency figures in a subsequent post.)

What else can we learn from the flow diagram? The flow diagram offers many starting points for exploration and discussion. For example:

Electric generation benefits from a diversity of raw energy sources. Ten years ago, geothermal, wind, and solar sources were lumped in with “biomass & other,” accounting for just 2.3% of the energy sources we use for electricity. Today, those sources account for 5.2% of electrical generation. While this is still small compared to the total feedstock used for electricity, the fact that there is a diversity of sources increases the opportunity for innovation. Both wind and solar continue to get cheaper, so one of those technologies will attain grid parity at some point.

Internal combustion cars are locked into a single source of energy: petroleum. I admit to being an aficionado of electric car technology, but looking at the flow diagram makes it abundantly clear that the cost of running an internal combustion vehicle is directly tied to the cost of petroleum. (More accurately, operating costs are tied to the cost of gasoline, which may or may not track the cost of crude oil).

Small changes in end-user consumption have large effects on raw energy use. Because the generation of electricity through thermal means is inherently inefficient, reducing the electricity consumption in your home by one kW-h has the effect of saving three kW-h at the generation plant. Similarly, every gallon of gas that you don’t burn in your car effectively frees up five gallons that can be more efficiently used in industrial and commercial applications. Yes, you can make a difference.

We’ve only scratched the surface of a much longer discussion. But I want to hear from you: did anything surprise you about the flow diagram? What else would you like to know that it doesn’t tell you?